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Joshua Cheong's avatar

Hey Arthur Hayes, did you consider the impact on the strengthening USD for global liquidity conditions that have been coming down since october? Many people including daddy Zulauf have been predicting risk asset correction in Q1 rather than Q2 (S&P500). And given the high correlation between S&P500 and Bitcoin, his view looks more to Q1.

Have you thought why daddy is wrong?

Side note: I died when I read "ass-kicking in a gender-neutral bathroom".

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Joshua Cheong's avatar

Turns out I'm more correct, here's my analysis:

https://hackmd.io/@joshuacheong/S1u7gTRrke

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Mar 5
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Joshua Cheong's avatar

WTF bot, you would benefit from reading the research than phish people

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Pietro Ventani's avatar

The fundamental flaw in Arthur & Co.'s 'liquidity cult' lies in their failure to recognize that the post-COVID world has fundamentally shifted. The Federal Reserve now operates under constraints it didn't face before, including persistent inflation and extreme fiscal profligacy

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Crypto Trader Digest's avatar

Appreciate that.

Today I'll be introducing my subsc ribers to a Huge 1nves ment chat with

𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺👉🏻@Novabull

Tell him l directed you,it's very 1ucrative

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Javi's avatar

Happy New Year Ser Hayes!!!! Thanks for yet another interesting essay 👏

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Crypto Trader Digest's avatar

Appreciate that.

Today I'll be introducing my subsc ribers to a Huge 1nves ment chat with

𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺👉🏻@Novabull

Tell him l directed you,it's very 1ucrative

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Jimychanga's avatar

Dopest economics blog in all of substackia!

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Crypto Trader Digest's avatar

Appreciate that.

Today I'll be introducing my subsc ribers to a Huge 1nves ment chat with

𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺👉🏻@Novabull

Tell him l directed you,it's very 1ucrative

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Arnold Yanovich's avatar

solid and honest. ride the 909 open hi-hat!!! lol

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Crypto Trader Digest's avatar

Appreciate that.

Today I'll be introducing my subsc ribers to a Huge 1nves ment chat with

𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺👉🏻@Novabull

Tell him l directed you,it's very 1ucrative

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Wekkel's avatar

Unfortunately Pozsar's essay "Cheating on Cinderella" is behind a paywall

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Crypto Trader Digest's avatar

Appreciate that.

Today I'll be introducing my subsc ribers to a Huge 1nves ment chat with

𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺👉🏻@Novabull

Tell him l directed you,it's very 1ucrative

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Mattia Menchi's avatar

The pace of QT from FED should be $25bn per month these days (since June 2024), therefore the liquidity injection for Q1 2025 should be increased by $35bn x 3, going as high as $717bn according to your projections

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Crypto Trader Digest's avatar

Appreciate that.

Today I'll be introducing my subsc ribers to a Huge 1nves ment chat with

𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺👉🏻@Novabull

Tell him l directed you,it's very 1ucrative

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Ishita Srivastava's avatar

The ticker is WORM

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Crypto Trader Digest's avatar

Appreciate that.

Today I'll be introducing my subsc ribers to a Huge 1nves ment chat with

𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺👉🏻@Novabull

Tell him l directed you,it's very 1ucrative

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idk's avatar

amazing

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Crypto Trader Digest's avatar

Appreciate that.

Today I'll be introducing my subsc ribers to a Huge 1nves ment chat with

𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺👉🏻@Novabull

Tell him l directed you,it's very 1ucrative

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Phillip's avatar

Nice. Mostly agree. Stay away in May but really April. Come back in late Sept. What about the “6 trillion wall” of money on the “sidelines” that every mainstream media outlet loves to tout. Won’t people be bored of money market and treasury doldrums? Equities and crypto are calling for them. And then what about everyone wanting to invest in the US bc that’s where all action lay?

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